2024 COLT COLT 2024

An information-theoretic lower bound in time-uniform estimation

Abstract

We present an information-theoretic lower bound for the problem of parameter estimation with time-uniform coverage guarantees. We use a reduction to sequential testing to obtain stronger lower bounds that capture the hardness of the time-uniform setting. In the case of location model estimation and logistic regression, our lower bound is $\Omega(\sqrt{n^{-1}\log \log n})$, which is tight up to constant factors in typical settings.

🌉 Interdisciplinary Bridge — Machine Learning and Mathematics & Optimization
🧭 Keyword Pioneer — time-uniform estimation
🐝 Cross-Pollinator — Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science, Computer Vision, Data Science & Analytics, Deep Learning, Healthcare & Medicine, Interdisciplinary, Knowledge & Reasoning, Machine Learning, Mathematics & Optimization, Natural Language Processing, Reinforcement Learning, Robotics, Security & Privacy, Speech & Audio