2014 NIPS NeurIPS 2014

Feedback Detection for Live Predictors

Abstract

A predictor that is deployed in a live production system may perturb the features it uses to make predictions. Such a feedback loop can occur, for example, when a model that predicts a certain type of behavior ends up causing the behavior it predicts, thus creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. In this paper we analyze predictor feedback detection as a causal inference problem, and introduce a local randomization scheme that can be used to detect non-linear feedback in real-world problems. We conduct a pilot study for our proposed methodology using a predictive system currently deployed as a part of a search engine.

🧭 Keyword Pioneer — predictive system
🐣 Hot Topic Early Bird — causal inference
🐝 Cross-Pollinator — Artificial Intelligence, Computer Vision, Data Science & Analytics, Deep Learning, Healthcare & Medicine, Interdisciplinary, Knowledge & Reasoning, Machine Learning, Mathematics & Optimization, Natural Language Processing, Reinforcement Learning, Speech & Audio
🌉 Interdisciplinary Bridge — Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
📈 Trend Setter — Causal Inference