2020
AAAI
AAAI 2020
Day-Ahead Forecasting of Losses in the Distribution Network
Abstract
Abstract We present a commercially deployed machine learning system that automates the day-ahead nomination of the expected grid loss for a Norwegian utility company. It meets several practical constraints and issues related to, among other things, delayed, missing and incorrect data and a small data set. The system incorporates a total of 24 different models that performs forecasts for three sub-grids. Each day one model is selected for making the hourly day-ahead forecasts for each sub-grid. The deployed system reduces the MAE with 41% from 3.68 MW to 2.17 MW per hour from mid July to mid October. It is robust and reduces manual work.
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Interdisciplinary Bridge
— Data Science & Analytics and Machine Learning
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Keyword Pioneer
— grid loss prediction
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Hot Topic Early Bird
— time series forecasting
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Cross-Pollinator
— Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science, Computer Vision, Data Science & Analytics, Deep Learning, Healthcare & Medicine, Interdisciplinary, Knowledge & Reasoning, Machine Learning, Mathematics & Optimization, Natural Language Processing, Reinforcement Learning, Robotics, Speech & Audio