2024
AISTATS
AISTATS 2024
Simulation-Based Stacking
Abstract
Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of initialization and stochastic gradients. With a consistency guarantee, we present a general posterior stacking framework to make use of all available approximations. Our stacking method is able to combine densities, simulation draws, confidence intervals, and moments, and address the overall precision, calibration, coverage, and bias of the posterior approximation at the same time. We illustrate our method on several benchmark simulations and a challenging cosmological inference task.
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Interdisciplinary Bridge
— Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
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Keyword Pioneer
— posterior stacking
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Cross-Pollinator
— Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, Mathematics & Optimization, Reinforcement Learning
Authors
Topics
Artificial Intelligence > Bayesian & Probabilistic > Probabilistic Modeling
Machine Learning > Core Methods > Representation Learning
Machine Learning > Optimization & Theory > Bayesian Inference
Machine Learning > Optimization & Theory > Statistics
Machine Learning > Bayesian & Probabilistic > Bayesian Inference