2010 NIPS NeurIPS 2010

Trading off Mistakes and Don't-Know Predictions

Abstract

We discuss an online learning framework in which the agent is allowed to say I don't know'' as well as making incorrect predictions on given examples. We analyze the trade off between sayingI don't know'' and making mistakes. If the number of don't know predictions is forced to be zero, the model reduces to the well-known mistake-bound model introduced by Littlestone [Lit88]. On the other hand, if no mistakes are allowed, the model reduces to KWIK framework introduced by Li et. al. [LLW08]. We propose a general, though inefficient, algorithm for general finite concept classes that minimizes the number of don't-know predictions if a certain number of mistakes are allowed. We then present specific polynomial-time algorithms for the concept classes of monotone disjunctions and linear separators.

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🧭 Keyword Pioneer — don't-know predictions
🐣 Hot Topic Early Bird — online learning
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🌉 Interdisciplinary Bridge — Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning