2012
COLT
COLT 2012
A Characterization of Scoring Rules for Linear Properties
Abstract
We consider the design of proper scoring rules, equivalently proper losses, when the goal is to elicit some function, known as a property, of the underlying distribution. We provide a full characterization of the class of proper scoring rules when the property is linear as a function of the input distribution. A key conclusion is that any such scoring rule can be written in the form of a Bregman divergence for some convex function. We also apply our results to the design of prediction market mechanisms, showing a strong equivalence between scoring rules for linear properties and automated prediction market makers.
🌉
Interdisciplinary Bridge
— Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning and Mathematics & Optimization
📈
Trend Setter
— Game AI
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Keyword Pioneer
— proper loss
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Cross-Pollinator
— Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science, Data Science & Analytics, Deep Learning, Healthcare & Medicine, Machine Learning, Mathematics & Optimization
Authors
Topics
Artificial Intelligence > Core AI > Game AI
Machine Learning > Core Methods > Classification
Machine Learning > Optimization & Theory > Loss Functions
Mathematics & Optimization > Mathematics > Information Theory
Mathematics & Optimization > Mathematics > Probability
Machine Learning > Optimization & Theory > Information Theory
Mathematics & Optimization > Optimization > Game Theory